SEPTEMBER 13, 2025
REAL ESTATE ROUNDUP
GTA market, August 2025: 5,211 sales, up 2.3 percent year over year. New listings reached 14,038, up 9.4 percent year over year. The TRREB MLS average selling price came in near 1.02 million, and the MLS Home Price Index composite was down about 5.2 percent year over year, a signal that buyers still have leverage compared with last year.
Momentum check, month over month: On a seasonally adjusted basis, sales slipped 1.8 percent from July, and the HPI edged 0.1 percent lower to roughly 978 thousand. Translation, activity cooled slightly from July to August even as year over year sales improved.
Supply versus demand snapshot: With 5,211 sales against 14,038 new listings, the sales to new listings ratio sits near 37 percent, which is buyer-leaning. Inventory also rose year over year, adding choice and negotiation room for purchasers.
Rates and the week ahead: The Bank of Canada’s next policy announcement is Wednesday, September 17, and the current policy rate is 2.75 percent. After softer August jobs data, markets increased the odds of a cut at that meeting. Keep an eye on Wednesday morning, 9:45 a.m. ET.
Orangeville and Dufferin spotlight: Local indicators are steadier than the GTA headline trend. July in Orangeville showed about 50 sales, a median sold price near 781,500 dollars, about 38 days on market, and 183 active listings. Recent rolling stats also show average prices in the mid to high 700s with roughly 40 to 44 days on market, which points to balanced conditions. Sellers should plan for proper prep and realistic pricing, buyers can shop with patience and still find value.
LOCAL WEEKENDR EVENTS, SEPTEMBER 13-19
Orangeville, Dufferin
- Orangeville Farmers’ Market: Sat, Sept 13, 8:00 a.m. to 1:00 p.m., beside Town Hall, live music and local vendors. (calendar.orangeville.ca)
- House Hunting Workshop, Museum of Dufferin: Sat, Sept 13, 10:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m., Archives, ticketed. (Facebook, Instagram)
- OAG 53rd Annual Art Show and Sale, Alton Mill: Open through Sun, Sept 14, 10:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. (calendar.orangeville.ca)
Centre Wellington
- Fergus Fall Fair: Fri to Sun, Sept 12–14, heavy events, homecrafts, midway, classic fall fair fun. (Wellington County)
- Fergus Ghost Walk: Sat, Sept 13, evening lantern tour downtown, tickets required. (Downtown Fergus, Eventbrite)
- Elora Distilling Co, Saturday Cocktail Class: Sat, Sept 13, 4:00 p.m. to 5:30 p.m., small group session. (Wellington County, Elora Distilling Company)
GTA
- TIFF 50, Toronto International Film Festival: runs through Sun, Sept 14, multiple venues, schedule live. (TIFF, Reuters)
- Bloor West Village Ukrainian Festival: Fri to Sun, Sept 12–14, free street festival. (To Do Canada)
- Roncesvalles Polish Festival: Sat to Sun, Sept 13–14, music, food, culture along Roncesvalles Ave. (polishfestival.ca)
Nature and wellness
- Island Lake Conservation Area, trails, paddling, birding, easy day trip any day this week. (calendar.orangeville.ca)
- Tree Sculpture Walk, downtown Orangeville, self-guided, family friendly. (calendar.orangeville.ca)
Arts, culture, festivals
- Theatre Orangeville, September features, Norm Foster celebration week begins Sept 17, staged readings across three days. (calendar.orangeville.ca, Facebook)
- TIFF picks for families and film lovers, check the TIFF schedule to filter by venue and date. (TIFF)
Markets and community
- Orangeville Farmers’ Market, Sat morning, downtown. (calendar.orangeville.ca)
- Fergus Fall Fair midway and exhibits, all weekend. (Wellington County)
Live music picks
- LadyStrange at Main Street Station, Orangeville, Sat, Sept 13, 9:00 p.m., high-energy rock reimagined, yes that is us. (mainstreetstation.ca)
- TIFF week pop-ups and shows, expect busy patios, check venue listings around King Street and the Entertainment District. (Reuters)
Week at a glance
- Sat, Sept 13: Orangeville Farmers’ Market, House Hunting Workshop at Museum of Dufferin, Fergus Ghost Walk, Elora Cocktail Class, TIFF screenings, LadyStrange at Main Street Station. (calendar.orangeville.ca, Facebook, Downtown Fergus, Wellington County, TIFF, mainstreetstation.ca)
- Sun, Sept 14: Last day for OAG Art Show at Alton Mill, TIFF closes in the evening, Fergus Fall Fair wraps. (calendar.orangeville.ca, TIFF, Wellington County)
- Mon to Wed, Sept 15–17: Nature days at Island Lake, midweek studio visits and galleries, Bank of Canada rate announcement Wed morning. (calendar.orangeville.ca, Bank of Canada)
- Thu to Fri, Sept 18–19: Post-TIFF downtown Toronto vibes, local live music returns Friday night, check the Main Street Station lineup and town event calendar. (mainstreetstation.ca, calendar.orangeville.ca)
Got an event to feature next week or curious about timing your move before the holidays, sent me an email at [email protected] and I will share a no-pressure plan that fits your timeline.
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AUGUST 22, 2025
REAL ESTATE ROUND-UP
GTA Housing Market
- Bank of Canada rate remains at 2.75% — giving buyers and sellers some rate stability.
- Benchmark price across the GTA dipped slightly to $979,000 (–0.2% MoM, –5.4% YoY).
- Sales up ~13% MoM to 5,744 units — the strongest July performance since 2021.
- Active listings surged ~26.5% YoY to over 30,000 homes.
- Sales-to-new-listings ratio: 35% — still a buyer-favourable market.
Orangeville & Dufferin County
- Orangeville average home price: ~$823,000 (+10.5% MoM, +0.1% YoY)
- Average days on market: ~39
- Dufferin County average price: ~$759,000 (–1% MoM)
- Local Spotlight: While the GTA cools and leans toward buyers, Orangeville and Dufferin remain balanced — with steady pricing, more time on market, and strong value for both sides. Sellers: prep matters. Buyers: opportunity is here.
LOCAL WEEKENDR EVENTS: August 23–31
Orangeville & Dufferin County
- The Great Benjamins Circus — Aug 23–24 at Orangeville Fairgrounds. A roaming acrobat spectacular for all ages.
- Farmers’ Market + The Mullet Sale — Sat Aug 23, 8 AM–1 PM. Fresh local produce and a quirky sidewalk sale downtown.
- The Neverending Story (Play) — Sat Aug 23 (2 PM) & Fri Aug 22 (7:30 PM) at Theatre Orangeville. A theatrical family favorite.
- Caledon Music Festival – Cabaret & Broadway — Sat Aug 23, 7:30 PM, Westminster United Church. Live chamber music treat.
- Cruisin’ on First Car Show — Wed Aug 27, 6–8:30 PM. Weekly classic & custom car meet – fun for families downtown.
- Orangeville Fall Fair — Aug 29–31 at OAS Event Centre. Tractor pulls, demolition derby, live music, food & carnival.
Centre Wellington
- Fergus Scottish Festival & Highland Games — Second weekend in August (likely Aug 23–25). Traditional Scottish competitions, pipe bands, Celtic market & cultural events.
GTA Highlights
- Ontario-centric Music & Crafts Festivals continue through this weekend—check regional listings for neighborhoods like Hamilton & Owen Sound (e.g., Summerfolk in Owen Sound, Festival of Friends in Hamilton).
Curious about buying or selling this fall?
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Stay safe, stay curious, and enjoy the sunshine.🌞